Research · 02
Stock market prediction by inexperienced remote viewers_
Ten first-time viewers made seven ARV forecasts of the Dow. All seven were correct, real money was staked, and the series made a gain. A striking result, and a small enough one to stay sceptical of.
- 2014
- Christopher Carson Smith, Darrell Laham, Garret Moddel
- Journal of Scientific Exploration
- ARV
- Financial markets
- Precognition
The design
Ten people with no remote viewing background each described an image they would be shown later. Two images were associated with the two possible directions of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, up and down. A judge matched the descriptions, the association fixed the forecast, and a stake was placed in stock options before the market resolved. Afterwards the viewer was shown only the correct image. Seven forecasts were made in total.
The result
All seven forecasts were correct. A run of seven from seven happens by chance roughly once in 128 times (p below .01). Real money was placed on the calls, and the series produced a significant gain.
Why the small number matters
Seven is a very short series. A perfect run at that length is striking, but it is also the kind of result a single lucky streak produces, and ARV market results have a long history of not surviving the next attempt. The study is a clean existence proof of the protocol working once, not evidence of a durable edge.
Why it matters to us
It is the clearest demonstration that ARV can be run by ordinary, untrained people and still bind to a live financial outcome, which is the premise of our own platform. It is also why we hold the bar where we do. We treat a short winning series as a hypothesis, not a finding, and we do not count it until it repeats on a target pool we did not build. Inexperienced viewers succeeding is encouraging. Seven trials is not a track record.
Reference: Smith, C. C., Laham, D. & Moddel, G. (2014). Stock market prediction using associative remote viewing by inexperienced remote viewers. Journal of Scientific Exploration, 28(1), 7–16.
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